Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.932567e-05 2.341468e-05 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053
2025-06-29 1.325908e-05 1.815623e-05 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062
2025-07-06 9.229994e-06 1.422583e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000069
2025-07-13 6.901059e-06 1.188528e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000077
2025-07-20 5.381624e-06 1.030534e-05 0.000017 0.000028 0.000042 0.000061 0.000086
2025-07-27 4.351724e-06 9.218348e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000066 0.000095
2025-08-03 3.968828e-06 9.079529e-06 0.000017 0.000030 0.000049 0.000074 0.000109
2025-08-10 3.155001e-06 8.023091e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000050 0.000078 0.000117
2025-08-17 2.239372e-06 6.541488e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000078 0.000121
2025-08-24 1.623764e-06 5.469996e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000048 0.000080 0.000125
2025-08-31 1.262652e-06 4.842257e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000083 0.000132
2025-09-07 9.311718e-07 4.163545e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000049 0.000085 0.000138
2025-09-14 5.979302e-07 3.378479e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000050 0.000087 0.000145
2025-09-21 3.399247e-07 2.613828e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000151
2025-09-28 1.676209e-07 1.941629e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000047 0.000089 0.000155
2025-10-05 8.844659e-08 1.556279e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000092 0.000162
2025-10-12 4.724507e-08 1.299889e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000096 0.000172
2025-10-19 2.563951e-08 1.128102e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000051 0.000101 0.000184
2025-10-26 2.128163e-08 1.150050e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000055 0.000111 0.000203
2025-11-02 8.582227e-09 9.548462e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000056 0.000114 0.000212
2025-11-09 1.107592e-09 6.745114e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000054 0.000114 0.000215
2025-11-16 2.120455e-11 4.907951e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000115 0.000220
2025-11-23 NaN 3.940827e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000054 0.000118 0.000229